Where will AI be at the end of 2027? A bet
2025-01-03
In a compelling article, Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage engage in a fascinating bet regarding the future of AI by 2027. They predict whether AI systems will be able to accomplish 8 out of 10 specified complex tasks, with the wager reflecting their opposing views—Marcus as a skeptic of generative AI and Brundage as an advocate. The tasks outlined include capabilities such as writing NYT-quality obituaries, generating Nobel-caliber scientific discoveries, and more. The outcome of this bet will provide a measurable test for AI progress towards achieving Artificial General Intelligence.
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