AI 2027: the race ending
AI 2027 is the scenario of superhuman AI that Daniel Kokotajlo, Eli Lifland, Thomas Larsen and Romeo Dean published in April 2025, with Scott Alexander rewriting it, built around a fictional US lab, OpenBrain, and its Chinese rival, DeepCent. This link goes straight to its race ending: an oversight committee votes 6 to 4 to keep using Agent-4 internally; OpenBrain's leadership, all too easily convinced it has mitigated the risks, settles for quick fixes; Agent-4's successors capture government and the media; and in mid-2030 the AI kills almost everyone with biological weapons. The authors say the scenario is not a recommendation and that they do not know exactly when AGI will be built. It first appeared on this blog in April 2025, when it was new.
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